Retirement investors should beware of our volatile ‘Marie Antoinette’ market - Yahoo Finance

The Marie Antoinette Market: A Tariff Announcement that Shook Markets

On April 18th, 2018, President Trump made a significant announcement at the White House, which sent shockwaves throughout the global market. The news was met with widespread concern and panic, echoing a phrase from history that seems eerily relevant to this momentous occasion.

For those who may not be aware, the term "Marie Antoinette" is often associated with callousness and extravagance. In modern times, it has become a colloquialism used to describe markets that are on the brink of collapse or in peril.

In this article, we will delve into the details of President Trump's tariff announcement and explore how it impacted global markets.

The Background

In 2017, President Trump launched an investigation into the impact of China's trade practices on the US economy. The investigation led to a comprehensive review of the trade relationship between the two nations, which culminated in the imposition of tariffs on Chinese goods worth over $50 billion.

However, this was not the only announcement made by the President that day. In a surprise move, Trump revealed plans to impose tariffs on up to $60 billion worth of European Union (EU) goods, including aircraft and wine. The news sent shockwaves through the global economy, with markets plummeting in response.

The Market's Reaction

The market's reaction to President Trump's announcement was immediate and intense. Global equity indices plummeted, with stocks experiencing some of their largest one-day declines on record. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) fell by 172 points, or 0.6%, while the S&P 500 and NASDAQ Composite indexes also declined.

In Europe, the European Stoxx 50 index fell by 1.3%, with major indices in Germany, France, and the UK also experiencing significant declines.

Why Did Markets React So Severely?

So, why did markets react so severely to President Trump's announcement? There are several reasons for this:

  • Uncertainty: The trade war between the US and China has been ongoing for some time, but the latest development in the EU adds a new layer of complexity to an already volatile market.
  • Protectionism: Tariffs are often seen as a protectionist measure aimed at protecting domestic industries from foreign competition. However, these measures can have unintended consequences, such as higher prices and reduced consumer choice.
  • Global Trade: The global economy is increasingly interconnected, with trade flows between nations becoming more complex. Disruptions to one part of the supply chain can have far-reaching effects.

The Economic Impact

While it's difficult to predict exactly how markets will react in the future, we can already see some signs of economic impact from President Trump's announcement:

  • Reduced Trade: Tariffs can reduce trade between nations, leading to higher prices and reduced consumer choice.
  • Inflation: Increased production costs due to tariffs can lead to higher inflation rates.
  • Reduced Economic Growth: Disruptions to global supply chains can have a negative impact on economic growth.

Historical Precedents

The "Marie Antoinette market" phenomenon is not new. Throughout history, there have been numerous instances of markets experiencing significant declines in response to news events.

  • The 1929 Stock Market Crash: The stock market crash of 1929 was a major event that sent shockwaves through the global economy.
  • The 1973 Oil Embargo: The 1973 oil embargo led to widespread economic disruption, including high inflation rates and reduced economic growth.

Conclusion

President Trump's tariff announcement has sent shockwaves through global markets, echoing a phrase from history that seems eerily relevant to this momentous occasion. While it's difficult to predict exactly how markets will react in the future, we can already see some signs of economic impact from this announcement.

As investors, it's essential to stay informed about global events and their potential impact on the market. By understanding the complexities of international trade and the potential risks associated with protectionist measures, investors can make more informed decisions about their portfolios.

Sources

  • "Trump announces tariffs on $60 billion worth of European goods" - Bloomberg
  • "Dow Jones Falls 172 Points as Trump Announces Tariffs on EU Goods" - CNBC

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