Trump Has This ‘Backup Plan’ If Supreme Court Strikes Down His Tariffs, Adviser Says - Forbes

Trump's Contingency Plan for Higher Tariffs on Liberations Day

In a move that signals the administration's unwavering commitment to its trade policies, President Donald Trump has reportedly developed a backup plan in response to potential Supreme Court rulings against his Liberation Day tariffs. The proposed 10% tariffs would apply across the board, targeting various industries and products.

Background on Liberation Day Tariffs

Liberation Day, celebrated on July 4th, is a federal holiday commemorating the adoption of the Declaration of Independence in 1776. In 2018, President Trump signed an executive order imposing tariffs on goods imported from Argentina and China, citing national security concerns. The tariffs were intended to promote American industries and support the country's economic growth.

However, when the Supreme Court ruled against the tariffs in a lower court decision in June 2022, Trump announced that he would appeal the ruling. Despite this, there has been speculation about potential changes or revisions to the tariffs.

The 10% Tariff Contingency Plan

According to sources close to the White House, if the Supreme Court strikes down the Liberation Day tariffs, President Trump's administration will implement a 10% tariff across all imported goods. This move would mark a significant escalation of trade tensions with both Argentina and China.

The proposed tariffs would affect various industries, including:

  • Agricultural products: Tariffs on soybeans, corn, wheat, and other crops could severely impact American farmers and the agricultural sector as a whole.
  • Automotive imports: Higher tariffs on vehicles from Argentina and China could increase prices for American consumers and limit access to foreign-made cars.
  • Consumer goods: Tariffs on electronics, textiles, and other consumer products would likely be passed on to American consumers in the form of higher prices.

Industry Reactions and Economic Implications

The prospect of a 10% tariff across all imported goods has sparked widespread concern among industry experts and economists. The tariffs could lead to:

  • Increased costs for businesses: Higher tariffs would result in increased costs for American companies, potentially leading to reduced competitiveness and market share.
  • Job losses and economic contraction: Tariffs could lead to job losses and slower economic growth, as industries adjust to the new trade landscape.
  • Global trade tensions: The proposed tariffs would further exacerbate global trade tensions, potentially leading to retaliatory measures from other countries.

Conclusion

The administration's contingency plan for higher tariffs on Liberation Day marks a significant escalation of trade tensions. If implemented, the 10% tariff would have far-reaching consequences for American businesses, consumers, and the economy as a whole. The impact of the tariffs would be felt across various industries and sectors, with potential implications for global trade and economic stability.

Additional Considerations

The proposed tariffs also raise questions about:

  • National security: Would the tariffs genuinely address national security concerns or serve other purposes?
  • Trade agreements: How might the tariffs affect ongoing trade negotiations, such as the United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA) and the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP)?
  • Economic growth: What would be the long-term effects on American economic growth, given the potential for slower growth and reduced competitiveness?

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