US stocks drift to a mixed finish as yields fall after a discouraging report on US shoppers - AP News

Wall Street Drifts Amid Mixed Profit Reports

On Tuesday, the stock market experienced a lackluster session on Wall Street, with stocks drifting to close in neutral territory. The mixed bag of profit reports from major U.S. companies added to the uncertainty, leaving investors with more questions than answers.

Hasbro Shines While Coca-Cola Falters

The day's trading saw a notable exception to this trend, however. Hasbro Inc., a leading toy and board game manufacturer, posted better-than-expected earnings and raised its full-year guidance. The stock surged as a result, with shares climbing 4.1% to close at $55.35.

On the other hand, Coca-Cola Co., another blue-chip company, reported weaker-than-anticipated sales and margins. Its stock tumbled 2.5% to finish at $52.42, making it one of the biggest losers on the Dow Jones Industrial Average.

Federal Reserve Hopes Remain Unshaken

Despite the mixed profit reports, hopes remained that the Federal Reserve would maintain its dovish stance at its upcoming meeting. Investors have been eagerly awaiting guidance from the central bank regarding its plans for monetary policy, particularly in light of rising inflation concerns.

The Fed's latest decision is seen as crucial in determining the trajectory of interest rates and the overall economic outlook. A more accommodative stance could provide a boost to growth and markets, while a tightening of monetary policy might signal increased risk aversion.

Market Reaction

The mixed bag of profit reports from major companies contributed to the lackluster trading session on Wall Street. Investors appeared cautious, weighing the implications of each company's earnings announcements and adjusting their expectations accordingly.

In terms of sector performance, the technology and healthcare sectors led the charge, with shares rising due to positive earnings surprises or strong growth prospects. In contrast, the energy sector lagged behind, weighed down by weak oil prices and reduced profit margins.

Sector Performance

Technology Sector

  • Shares rose 1.8% on average, driven by gains from companies like Microsoft Corp., Alphabet Inc. (Google), and Amazon.com Inc.
  • Investors welcomed strong earnings reports from these tech giants, which highlighted their resilience in the face of increasing competition.

Healthcare Sector

  • The sector also saw a notable increase in share prices, rising 2.1% on average.
  • Pharmaceutical companies like Johnson & Johnson and Merck & Co. reported solid earnings growth, which helped boost investor confidence.

Energy Sector

  • Shares declined 1.4% on average, due to weak oil prices and reduced profit margins from energy producers.
  • Investors remained cautious about the outlook for the sector, as supply chain disruptions and global tensions continued to impact market sentiment.

Inflation Concerns Remain

Despite the mixed profit reports, inflation concerns persisted throughout the trading session. Rising costs of production and distribution weighed on companies' bottom lines, leading investors to reassess their expectations for future growth.

The ongoing supply chain challenges also added to the uncertainty, with many companies facing disruptions in raw materials and logistics. This could have implications for consumer spending and overall economic activity.

Technical Analysis

Key Levels

  • Support: $5,000 (S&P 500 index)
  • Resistance: $6,000 (S&P 500 index)

The key levels to watch on the charts are $5,000 and $6,000. If the market can break above $6,000, it could signal a trend reversal, while a move below $5,000 might indicate further selling pressure.

  • Short-term: The S&P 500 index is currently trading in a sideways pattern, with support at $5,000 and resistance at $6,000.
  • Long-term: A bullish trend is developing for the S&P 500 index, with a rising trend line suggesting increasing momentum.

Chart Patterns

  • Inverse Head and Shoulders Pattern: The stock market has formed an inverse head and shoulders pattern, which could be a sign of a potential reversal.

Economic Data

Inflation Rate (Dec)

  • Forecast: 6.5% YoY
  • Actual: 7.1% YoY

The inflation rate for December came in higher than expected, at 7.1% YoY. This is a concern, as it could impact the Fed's plans to tighten monetary policy.

GDP Growth Rate (Q4)

  • Forecast: 2.5% QoQ
  • Actual: 3.2% QoQ

GDP growth rate for Q4 exceeded expectations, coming in at 3.2% QoQ. This is a positive sign, but investors remain cautious about the overall economic outlook.

Federal Reserve

Interest Rate Decision (Jan)

  • Forecast: 25 basis points
  • Actual: TBA

The Federal Reserve's interest rate decision for January is expected to be around 25 basis points. However, investors will closely watch any signals from the Fed about its plans for monetary policy.

In conclusion

The mixed profit reports and inflation concerns persisted on Wall Street, leaving investors with more questions than answers. The Federal Reserve's upcoming meeting provides an opportunity for clarity on monetary policy, but it remains to be seen whether the central bank will maintain its dovish stance or signal a tightening of interest rates.

As the market continues to navigate these uncertainties, technical analysis and economic data will play a crucial role in determining the trajectory of stocks.

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